I feel like there's going to be a repeat of 2020 where the Democrats manage to claw their way back into power and all the Trump supporters on KF keep denying that it's happening and Trump's role in their comeback until it blows up in their face and the rest of the forum goes "I told you so". The Dems recently won in some state elections and young men have been slowly turning away from Trump in the wake of the Kirk shooting, but I guarantee if you brought that up on A&H they'd try and get you redstriked.
it also says something about how retarded and nonsensical users have gotten, i distinctly remember 5 years ago the users going "its not looking good for trump, he's going to get his ass kicked" when 2020 happened, like every poll and even the ones kiwifarms trusted at best said "he's within the upper extreme of the margin of error!" so trump biting it didn't seem that crazy, fuck he had 4/1 odds in 2016.
i will say trump not actually being able to run means chances are vance or whomever will be able to get a victory depending on how well they maneuver and it feels like the dems will still lose by investing heavily on defeating a "trump-like" candidate only to find out too late vance is nothing like that. the VP debate literally played out like that, with Walz and his team preparing for a Trump style asshole throwing out quips and mocking Walz when he brings up his kid being in a school shooting, so Vance reacting like a normal human just destroyed them. Newsom is kamala tier good at actually doing rallys or debating or acting human so i wouldn't be surprised if he doesn't even clinch the DNC nomination tbqh
i haven't checked the thread but it does seem like a lot of sperging, from what i've seen. but thats only because they're retarded. every poll actually undershot how well the democrats did. 2016 was the only fluke and for obvious reasons. its like relying on some sports betting parlay to hit every time when it was a literal fluke. if people kept up they'd realize 2016 was the exception and polls have only gotten better and better, especially because the whole "shy torry" aspect isn't there anymore overall. and a lot of polling issues have been fixed overall. it honestly reminds me of how moneyball tactics failed to do better than usual baseball tactics like the 2nd or 3rd year they were used, but then proved consistently better since. the retards in USPG2 will point out the obvious compromised assholes like that one bitch in nevada or that key faggot but overall the polls are a lot closer than not, and we had plenty of comp'd dummies on the right Karl Rove would have told Josh Moon himself he'd win an election if he was paid enough money to do so.
every forecast expected at least these numbers for every race, but it was closer to the ceiling, which should tell you something about the shutdown and how people are feeling about the GOP.
if you trust the exit polls its basically what anyone paying attention could tell you, Trump's deportations haven't really hit the job or housing market so the economy is still in the shitter, inflation is rising and unlike biden, the media is incentivized to not hide how bad shit is and trump cutting off EBT has only made shit worse. as much as kiwifarms whines about how bloodthirsty the left is they clearly wanted riots and were expecting them on midnight of Nov 1st. they literally believe blacks are chimps.
even Null clearly has felt apologetic for how much he was dancing at the thought of the poor suffering based on his recent donations to a food bank even if he had to go "its for whites only!" when its fairly obvious a majority of fuckers on EBT are white (this is where the right goes "mah per capita" as if that fucking matters for this point) even the thread that should be celebrating was a lot of panicking kiwifarmers.
while i do believe the GOP is fucked, i wouldn't be surprised if they still are able to win in 2028, but yeah, 2026 is going to suck for them, i wouldn't be shocked if Trump gets 25th'd if the right truely does terrible and vance takes over just so they can get that incumbent bonus, it didn't work for Kamala but i 100% believe it would work if they got a year and a half instead of literally 4 months.